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A- Composite 82.86
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$45,000

106 Beech St · Williamston, NC 27892
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 347 Days on market
Built 1974 10,454 sqft lot Est $64k · 30% under ↓ 40% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Unlock the potential! This Williamston property is a renovator's dream! With 3 beds, 1 bath (per property card), and a blank slate interior that's down to the studs, envision the possibilities. Benefit from NEW energy-efficient windows and doors, a sprawling backyard, and a location that puts you minutes from downtown, parks, and waterfront recreation! This is a rare chance to create significant value in a sought-after location. Act fast?opportunities like this attract a lot of interest!

Key facts

  • Sprawling backyard
  • 0.24 acre lot
  • Parking

Tags

NEW ENERGY-EFFICIENT WINDOWSSPRAWLING BACKYARDMINUTES FROM DOWNTOWNWATERFRONT RECREATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $470 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($985 rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.8% vs local median 4.6% in Williamston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#584 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Martin County Schools (rural): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #150 of 178 in NC (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Williamston Primary (368 students, 99% FRL); Riverside Middle (math 18% / reading 33%, grade F, #388 of 475 statewide, top 83%, 364 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 62% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 72 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($311 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
  • Martin County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 347 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (40%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $39,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 347 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.19%
Cap rate
18.82%
Cash-on-cash
44.75%
DSCR
2.99
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$64,000
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
109 Wilson St 0.43mi 3/1.0 936 (-6%) 4mo $42,000 $45 66
302 School Dr 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,041 (+4%) 23mo $60,000 $58 52
302 E Simmons Avenue E 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,140 (+14%) 7mo $129,900 $114 52
604 School Dr 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 952 (-5%) 9mo $114,250 $120 51
403 Jamesville Rd 0.66mi 3/1.0 925 (-8%) 10mo $59,000 $64 48
110 N Martin Luther King Jr Dr 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 900 (-10%) 3mo $55,000 $61 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.13% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
52.9%
Equity multiple
4.22×
Total profit
$40,631
Equity at exit
$25,843
10-year hold
IRR
50.5%
Equity multiple
8.69×
Total profit
$96,842
Equity at exit
$44,888

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27892

Home prices YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
72
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$985 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax from tax record
$54 /mo · $644/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$207
Net cashflow
$470

Break-even live

Break-even rent $390
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-02-25
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-10
    price $45,000
  3. 2025-11-10
    price $55,000
  4. 2025-09-03
    price $59,000
  5. 2025-07-23
    status Active
  6. 2025-07-18
    status Pending
  7. 2025-07-07
    price $65,000
  8. 2025-04-07
    price $70,000
  9. 2025-03-10
    listed $75,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$644 · $54/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$644 · $54/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,821
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$644
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$946
− Management
−$946
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$5,231
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,255
After-tax cash flow
$4,383/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Martin County Schools
NCES district ID
3702880
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$35,403
Composite
23.94/100
National rank
#7781
State rank
#150 of 178 in NC

Livability — Williamston

Score
58/100
State rank
#584
US rank
#21504

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Williamston, NC
Population (ZIP)
13,387

Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,018 people
By 2030
19,693 · -6.3%
By 2040
16,793 · -20.1%
By 2050
14,171 · -32.6%
By 2075
9,804 · -53.4%
By 2100
6,894 · -67.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 38% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Martin

2024 margin
R (+10.3) · D 44.6% · R 54.9%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: -10.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+10.3 2020: R+5.0 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+4.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.13%
Current HPI
178.4817
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-40.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-25 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2026-02-10 Price Changed $45,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-11-10 Price Changed $55,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-09-03 Price Changed $59,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-07-23 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2025-07-18 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2025-07-07 Price Changed $65,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-04-07 Price Changed $70,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-03-10 Listed $75,000 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $644 · +73.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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