4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,080 sqft ·
Built 1926
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 90 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,561/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,097
Tax + insurance
−$725
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$748
Net cashflow
$-9/mo
Annual
$-108/yr
Cap rate
6.47%
Cash-on-cash
0.62%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$111,972
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/0.5-bath units multifamily listed at $400k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-9 ($-108/yr) — negative. Per door: $-5/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $398k (0.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $356k (11.0% below list).
It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($376k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $356k (11.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hendricks Avenue Elementary School (math 72% / reading 74%, grade A, #271 of 2,144 statewide, top 13%, 614 students, 24% FRL); Alfred I. Dupont Middle School (math 23% / reading 24%, grade F, #536 of 571 statewide, top 95%, 641 students, 59% FRL); Samuel W. Wolfson High School (math 48% / reading 70%, grade C+, #113 of 667 statewide, top 17%, 922 students, 20% FRL) — zoned schools average 34% FRL vs 49% district-wide (15 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $75k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $17k; list at $400k implies a 2252% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,561/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 1730% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WVWCR65H8X02K0
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29