0 bd · 5.0 ba ·
3,410 sqft ·
Built 1977
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,251/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,521
Tax + insurance
−$801
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$263
Net cashflow
$-2,335/mo
Annual
$-28,014/yr
Cap rate
0.47%
Cash-on-cash
-20.81%
DSCR
0.07
1% rule
0.26%
Cash to close
$134,627
Investor read
This is a ?-bed/5.0-bath single-family listed at $1.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-28k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($0) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#229 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Mcminn County (rural): math 24% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #77 of 139 in TN (top 55%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Englewood Elementary (math 31% / reading 30%, grade F, #408 of 952 statewide, top 43%, 539 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 721215.0% of price.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 272 active listings in the ZIP; 45 units permitted in McMinn County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 0.5% vs local median 2.8% in Athens — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WW2Q5K1DJR8DZQ
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29