2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
880 sqft ·
Built 1971
· Manufactured
· Active
· 111 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,514/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$461
Tax + insurance
−$55
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$528
Net cashflow
$1,469/mo
Annual
$17,631/yr
Cap rate
26.33%
Cash-on-cash
71.55%
DSCR
4.18
1% rule
2.86%
Cash to close
$24,640
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $88k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $88k).
It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $80k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $608 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#604 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A-; Watch: amenities C-, schools D+, crime F.
Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 51% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $42k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 26.3% vs local median 3.0% in Gardena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— dated and in poor condition
Major: kitchen countertops
— dated and in poor condition
Major: kitchen appliances
— dated and in poor condition
Major: bathroom vanity
— dated and in poor condition
Major: bathroom fixtures
— dated and in poor condition
CashFlowRE · CFR-WW7F29FJKGRSQN
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29