None bd · 5.0 ba ·
3,556 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Townhouse
· Active
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$0/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,278
Tax + insurance
−$444
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$0
Net cashflow
$-3,721/mo
Annual
$-44,656/yr
Cap rate
-0.72%
Cash-on-cash
-25.06%
DSCR
-0.12
1% rule
0.00%
Cash to close
$175,000
Investor read
This is a ?-bed/5.0-bath townhouse listed at $625k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4k ($-45k/yr) — negative.
Rent doesn't cover operating costs at any purchase price — skip.
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($616k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $616k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $31k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#485 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
Poteau (town): math 30% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #68 of 270 in OK (top 25%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Poteau Upper Es (math 45% / reading 36%, grade F, #98 of 845 statewide, top 12%, 471 students, 0% FRL); Poteau Hs (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #125 of 447 statewide, top 31%, 636 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 140 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Le Flore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Le Flore County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $352k; list at $625k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$49k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate -0.7% vs local median 3.8% in Poteau — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WWD7H72YZT0GMA
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29