2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
720 sqft ·
Built 1938
· SingleFamily
· Pending
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,034/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$236
Tax + insurance
−$31
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$217
Net cashflow
$550/mo
Annual
$6,598/yr
Cap rate
20.95%
Cash-on-cash
52.36%
DSCR
3.33
1% rule
2.30%
Cash to close
$12,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $550 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#148 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: employment D+, crime D-, amenities F.
Owensboro Independent (urban): math 27% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #100 of 165 in KY (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Owensboro Middle School (math 25% / reading 34%, grade F, #151 of 217 statewide, top 71%, 807 students, 74% FRL); Owensboro High School (math 30% / reading 40%, grade F, #74 of 254 statewide, top 29%, 1,334 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools at 66% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 360 active listings in the ZIP; 226 units permitted in Daviess County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Daviess County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $30k; list at $45k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 21.0% vs local median 3.1% in Owensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WX96VCF83AANJ0
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29