3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 2001
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 51 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$785/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$577
Tax + insurance
−$101
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$165
Net cashflow
$-57/mo
Annual
$-684/yr
Cap rate
5.67%
Cash-on-cash
-2.22%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$30,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-57 ($-684/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $100k (9.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $79k (28.6% below list).
It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $79k (28.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (6.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#226 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Meadville R-IV (rural): math 55% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #63 of 535 in MO (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Meadville Elem. (math 44% / reading 54%, grade D, #284 of 1,115 statewide, top 30%, 117 students, 41% FRL); Meadville High (math 64% / reading 64%, grade B-, #19 of 521 statewide, top 4%, 111 students, 38% FRL).
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Linn County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Linn County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $8k; list at $110k implies a 1367% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (6.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WY35TW1DE0ZEJ5
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29