1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
500 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$771/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$184
Tax + insurance
−$22
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$162
Net cashflow
$404/mo
Annual
$4,842/yr
Cap rate
20.13%
Cash-on-cash
49.41%
DSCR
3.20
1% rule
2.20%
Cash to close
$9,800
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $404 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($771 rent vs $35k).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $34k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $295 of equity ($242 loan paydown + $53 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#885 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Arthur CUSD 305 (rural): math 24% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #252 of 620 in IL (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Atwood-Hammond Grade School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #749 of 2,056 statewide, top 40%, 236 students, 0% FRL); Arthur-Lovington-Atwood-Hammond (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #218 of 693 statewide, top 35%, 324 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 35% district-wide (35 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 34 units permitted in Piatt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Piatt County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $25k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WYG2YX5HMA07TT
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29