304 Valley View Dr

Redwood Falls, MN 56283

$114,900B-

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,400 sqft · Built 1985 · SingleFamily · Pending · 18 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,539/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$603
• Tax + insurance: −$126
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$323
• Net cashflow: $488/mo
• Annual: $5,850/yr
• Cap rate: 11.38%
• Cash-on-cash: 18.18%
• DSCR: 1.81
• 1% rule: 1.34%
• Cash to close: $32,172

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $488 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
• It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $113k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#169 in MN, #3,642 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Redwood Area School District (town): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #207 of 301 in MN (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Reede Gray Elementary (math 57% / reading 42%, grade D, #423 of 857 statewide, top 55%, 419 students, 52% FRL); Redwood Valley Middle (math 34% / reading 46%, grade F, #147 of 258 statewide, top 57%, 322 students, 55% FRL); Redwood Valley Senior High (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #246 of 471 statewide, top 59%, 371 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 31% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Redwood County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Redwood County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 5.9% in Redwood Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.