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304 Valley View Dr
B- Composite 68.3
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$114,900

304 Valley View Dr · Redwood Falls, MN 56283
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,400 sqft · SingleFamily · 18 Days on market
Built 1985 0.43 ac lot ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautiful 3 bedroom 2 bath home, in tranquil neighborhood of North Redwood. Home sits across from a quiet park, lots of wildlife in the area. New roof decking and shingles (2023), some new windows, beautiful slider (2023) leading to oversized deck, which overlooks an oversized lot in desirable North Redwood neighborhood. This home boasts a large bedroom with its own private bathroom. Living room has vaulted ceilings with a fresh paint job throughout. Home also has new furnace, hot water heater, and water softener. As well as new flooring throughout, along with fresh paint. Make this house a must-see today! You won't regret it!

Key facts

  • Oversized deck
  • New shingles
  • Private bathroom

Tags

OVERSIZED DECKOVERSIZED LOTPRIVATE BATHROOMVAULTED CEILINGSNEW ROOF DECKINGNEW SHINGLES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot about 0.431 acre (approx. 110 x 185)

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
  • Home design: Manufactured home; One story; Main-level entry; Accessible without internal stairs
  • Construction: Foundation described as other (approx. 28 x 50); Above-grade living area approximately 1,400; Building area total approximately 1,400
  • Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Deck (approx. 12 x 18.6)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: No basement; No internal stairs (single-level living)
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $488 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 5.9% in Redwood Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#169 in MN, #3,642 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Redwood Area School District (town): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #207 of 301 in MN (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Redwood County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Redwood County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $113,176 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
11.38%
Cash-on-cash
18.18%
DSCR
1.81
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.8%
Equity multiple
1.39×
Total profit
$12,414
Equity at exit
$17,132
10-year hold
IRR
18.9%
Equity multiple
2.58×
Total profit
$50,721
Equity at exit
$9,934

Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56283

Home prices YoY
-15.6%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,539 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$78 /mo · $934/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$323
Net cashflow
$488

Break-even live

Break-even rent $922
Max offer price $114,900
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $553 -5% $520 +0% $488 +5% $455 +10% $422
Rent -10% $366 -5% $427 +0% $488 +5% $548 +10% $609
Rate -1.0pp $545 -0.5pp $517 base $488 +0.5pp $458 +1.0pp $427

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,725
Closing costs
$3,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-17
    historical Contingent - Inspection 641-char remark
  2. 2026-05-07
    listed $114,900 Active 641-char remark
  3. 2025-10-09
    historical
  4. 2025-09-22
    price $109,900
  5. 2025-09-08
    price $119,900
  6. 2025-08-20
    listed $129,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$934 · $78/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,110 · $93/mo
Expected delta
+$176/yr (+$15/mo · 18.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,467
− Mortgage interest
−$6,436
− Property taxes
−$934
− Insurance
−$574
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,477
− Management
−$1,477
− Depreciation
−$3,343
Taxable income
$4,225
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,014
After-tax cash flow
$4,836/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Redwood Area School District
NCES district ID
2700182
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$45,326
Composite
36.1/100
National rank
#4756
State rank
#207 of 301 in MN

Livability — Redwood Falls

Score
76/100
State rank
#169
US rank
#3642

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Redwood Falls, MN
Population (ZIP)
6,469

Population outlook (Redwood County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,504 people
By 2030
13,983 · -3.6%
By 2040
13,056 · -10.0%
By 2050
12,225 · -15.7%
By 2075
11,051 · -23.8%
By 2100
9,786 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 12% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Redwood

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.3) · D 27.7% · R 71.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-29.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -43.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.3 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+43.0 2012: R+20.1 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -39.40%
Current HPI
213.8535
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.5% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-17 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $114,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-09 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-22 Price Changed $109,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-08 Price Changed $119,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-20 Listed $129,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $934 · +15.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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