3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,728 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 57 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,243/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$878
Tax + insurance
−$146
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$261
Net cashflow
$-43/mo
Annual
$-517/yr
Cap rate
5.98%
Cash-on-cash
-1.10%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$46,900
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $168k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-43 ($-517/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $160k (4.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (25.8% below list).
It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($162k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $124k (25.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-1.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#183 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Flinn Elementary School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #191 of 377 statewide, top 56%, 439 students, 0% FRL); Sissonville Middle School (math 33% / reading 45%, grade F, #21 of 109 statewide, top 19%, 541 students, 0% FRL); Sissonville High School (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #69 of 110 statewide, top 71%, 563 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $145k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.1% in Sissonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29