3 bd · 3.5 ba ·
4,453 sqft ·
Built 1956
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,395/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,267
Tax + insurance
−$2,369
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$923
Net cashflow
$-5,164/mo
Annual
$-61,962/yr
Cap rate
1.11%
Cash-on-cash
-18.52%
DSCR
0.18
1% rule
0.37%
Cash to close
$334,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $1.20M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-5k ($-62k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $449k (62.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $439k (63.2% below list).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $439k (63.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $36k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#261 in PA, #2,261 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Lower Merion SD (suburban): math 74% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #3 of 539 in PA (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Gladwyne Sch (math 80% / reading 89%, grade A+, #14 of 1,518 statewide, top 2%, 540 students, 9% FRL); Black Rock Ms (1,032 students, 13% FRL); Harriton Shs (math 85%, 1,261 students, 14% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 1,936 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
8 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 1.1% vs local median 2.0% in West Conshohocken — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-WZVJTNCYHVKPM8
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29