3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,728 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Manufactured
· Active
· 129 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,109/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$140
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$653
Net cashflow
$1,792/mo
Annual
$21,501/yr
Cap rate
27.79%
Cash-on-cash
76.79%
DSCR
4.42
1% rule
3.11%
Cash to close
$28,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#373 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
Bethel School District (suburban): math 47% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #103 of 291 in WA (top 35%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Elk Plain School of Choice (570 students, 39% FRL); Liberty Middle School (936 students, 55% FRL); Graham Kapowsin High School (2,011 students, 49% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 388 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 27.8% vs local median 3.6% in Graham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($107k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-X0JP4NEKY6TZK8
· Data 20 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29