1735 Welch Rd

Jeffersonville, KY 40337

$100,000B+

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,092 sqft · Built — · Other · Active · 3 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,456/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$524
• Tax + insurance: −$84
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$306
• Net cashflow: $542/mo
• Annual: $6,501/yr
• Cap rate: 12.79%
• Cash-on-cash: 23.22%
• DSCR: 2.03
• 1% rule: 1.46%
• Cash to close: $28,000

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $100k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $542 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
• Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• In year one you build about $7k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#382 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Montgomery County (rural): math 24% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #76 of 165 in KY (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Camargo Elementary School (math 19% / reading 40%, grade F, #393 of 676 statewide, top 63%, 576 students, 64% FRL); Montgomery County High School (math 29% / reading 39%, grade F, #89 of 254 statewide, top 36%, 1,279 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 56 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Montgomery County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 3.3% in Jeffersonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.