2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
784 sqft ·
Built 1965
· Manufactured
· Active
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,824/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$341
Tax + insurance
−$175
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$383
Net cashflow
$925/mo
Annual
$11,105/yr
Cap rate
24.60%
Cash-on-cash
65.40%
DSCR
3.91
1% rule
2.81%
Cash to close
$18,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $925 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-1.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $678 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#298 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+; Watch: commute D, amenities F, employment F.
Clear Creek School District No. Re-1 (rural): math 31% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #66 of 176 in CO (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 23 units permitted in Clear Creek County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 24.6% vs local median 2.1% in Georgetown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: siding
— Severe weathering and damage
Major: roof
— General condition suggests potential issues
Major: flooring
— Exposed subflooring and debris
Major: interior walls
— Painted walls appear old and chipped
Major: kitchen
— No visible details, but the overall condition suggests it may need updates
Major: bathrooms
— No visible details, but the overall condition suggests it may need updates
CashFlowRE · CFR-X3QE9C2MRBTMPY
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29