900 Fifteenth St · Georgetown, CO
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 74°F)
- 11 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 31 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.5/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home offering 950 sq. ft. of comfortable living space in beautiful Georgetown. Enjoy small-town mountain living with an affordable monthly lot rent of just $350. Perfect as a full-time residence, weekend getaway, or investment opportunity.
Key facts
- Built 1965
- Listed 20 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $925 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.6% vs local median 2.1% in Georgetown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#298 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+; Watch: commute D, amenities F, employment F.
- Clear Creek School District No. Re-1 (rural): math 31% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #66 of 176 in CO (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 23 units permitted in Clear Creek County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $678 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.81% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 65.40%
- DSCR
- 3.91
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.04% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 61.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.97×
- Total profit
- $53,987
- Equity at exit
- $15,553
- IRR
- 64.8%
- Equity multiple
- 8.05×
- Total profit
- $128,348
- Equity at exit
- $16,215
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80444
- Home prices YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 48
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,824 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$383
- Net cashflow
- $925
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1920 Argentine St Georgetown, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 680 | $1,680 | $2.47 | 1d | 6 | 0.43mi |
| 902 Rose St Georgetown, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,400 | $3.00 | 1d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1901 Clear Creek Dr Georgetown, CO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,200 | $1.78 | 12d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 708 Griffith St Georgetown, CO | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1046 | $2,200 | $2.10 | 17d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2111 Hummingbird Way Georgetown, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 705 | $1,695 | $2.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2155 Bighorn Rd Georgetown, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 705 | $1,695 | $2.40 | 12d | 1 | 0.67mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $65,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 11 d/yr ≥74°F today · 31 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,890
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$1,122
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,751
- − Management
- −$1,751
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $10,758
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,582
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,523/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This manufactured home requires extensive repairs and updates to its exterior, interior, and HVAC systems, significantly impacting its value. Significant investment is needed to bring it up to a livable condition.
Repairs flagged
- Major siding — Severe weathering and damage
- Major roof — General condition suggests potential issues
- Major flooring — Exposed subflooring and debris
- Major interior walls — Painted walls appear old and chipped
- Major kitchen — No visible details, but the overall condition suggests it may need updates
- Major bathrooms — No visible details, but the overall condition suggests it may need updates
- Major HVAC/mechanicals — No visible details, but the overall condition suggests it may need updates
- Major landscaping — Overgrown yard and debris
Value-add opportunities
- Both exterior siding and roof replacement — Improves curb appeal and structural integrity
- Both interior painting and flooring repair — Enhances interior aesthetics and functionality
- Both HVAC system replacement — Improves comfort and energy efficiency
- Both landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances overall property value and appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| siding · Severe weathering and damage | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| roof · General condition suggests potential issues | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · Exposed subflooring and debris | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls · Painted walls appear old and chipped | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| kitchen · No visible details, but the overall condition suggests it may need updates | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathrooms · No visible details, but the overall condition suggests it may need updates | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC/mechanicals · No visible details, but the overall condition suggests it may need updates | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · Overgrown yard and debris | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 8 items | $120,000–400,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both exterior siding and roof replacement — Improves curb appeal and structural integrity ↑
- Both interior painting and flooring repair — Enhances interior aesthetics and functionality ↑
- Both HVAC system replacement — Improves comfort and energy efficiency ↑
- Both landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances overall property value and appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clear Creek School District No. Re-1
- NCES district ID
- 0803000
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,005
- Composite
- 34.69/100
- National rank
- #10059
- State rank
- #66 of 176 in CO
Livability — Georgetown
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #298
- US rank
- #20957
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Georgetown, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,082
Population outlook (Clear Creek County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,024 people
- By 2030
- 10,223 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 10,303 · +2.8%
- By 2050
- 10,183 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 10,420 · +4.0%
- By 2100
- 10,233 · +2.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Iranian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clear Creek
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 56.8% · R 40.2% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+13.0 2016: D+2.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.04%
- Current HPI
- 288.7655
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-4.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $65,000 FSBO.com
- 2026-04-20 Listing Removed — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-16 Listed $68,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…