2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,740 sqft ·
Built 1968
· MultiFamily
· Pending
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,425/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,884
Tax + insurance
−$487
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,349
Net cashflow
$1,705/mo
Annual
$20,456/yr
Cap rate
10.01%
Cash-on-cash
13.28%
DSCR
1.59
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$154,000
Investor read
This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $550k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive. Per door: $426/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $550k).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $59k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $55k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 43/100 on livability (#1,355 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Keppel Union Elementary (rural): math 23% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,089 of 1,400 in CA (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Pearblossom Elementary (393 students, 76% FRL); Keppel Academy (233 students, 68% FRL); Littlerock High (1,565 students, 58% FRL).
Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $80k; list at $550k implies a 588% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $154k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$95k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 3→7/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-X5JQNNB82Q5Z5D
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29