Fourplex
12155 Avenue V-10 · Littlerock, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 3 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 31 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 35 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.1/5.0
$550,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
An incredible chance to own a * * cash-flowing quadplex * * in * * Los Angeles County * * for * * under $600,000 * * -- something that almost never comes to market. This well-maintained * * 4-unit property * * features * * four 2-bedroom, 1-bath units * * with * * lifelong tenants in place * * and * * zero vacancy * * , providing * * immediate, stable income from day one * * . The tenants take pride in the property, and ownership has kept it in solid condition over the years. The property sits on a * * large lot * * , offering * * future upside and development potential * * for additional units or value-add strategies -- making this a smart play for both
Key facts
- 0.82 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1968
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $550k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive. Per door: $426/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $550k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 43/100 on livability (#1,355 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Keppel Union Elementary (rural): math 23% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,089 of 1,400 in CA (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Pearblossom Elementary (393 students, 76% FRL); Keppel Academy (233 students, 68% FRL); Littlerock High (1,565 students, 58% FRL).
- Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $59k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $55k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $154k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$95k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $550k implies a 588% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 3→7/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.28%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.65×
- Total profit
- $407,949
- Equity at exit
- $495,484
- IRR
- 29.3%
- Equity multiple
- 8.24×
- Total profit
- $1,115,630
- Equity at exit
- $1,068,529
Cash invested: $154,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93553
- Home prices YoY
- 15.2%
- Active inventory
- 98
- Price-to-rent
- 28.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,425 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,884
- Tax from tax record
- −$258 /mo · $3,092/yr
- Insurance
- −$229
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,349
- Net cashflow
- $1,705
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,016 | -5% $1,860 | +0% $1,705 | +5% $1,549 | +10% $1,393 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,197 | -5% $1,451 | +0% $1,705 | +5% $1,958 | +10% $2,212 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,982 | -0.5pp $1,845 | base $1,705 | +0.5pp $1,562 | +1.0pp $1,417 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | 1 | $6,424 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,606 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,606 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,606 |
| #4 | 2 | 1 | $1,606 |
| Total (4 units) | $6,425 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $137,500
- Closing costs
- $16,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13550 E Avenue W Pearblossom, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $2,750 | $1.64 | 4d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 13158 E Avenue W11 Pearblossom, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $2,600 | $1.85 | 0d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-03-26historical
-
2026-02-28$550,000
-
1978-06-01soldstatus $80,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,092 · $258/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,180 · $348/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,088/yr (+$91/mo · 35.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 3 d/yr ≥98°F today · 7 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 31 unhealthy d/yr today · 35 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $77,100
- − Mortgage interest
- −$30,809
- − Property taxes
- −$3,092
- − Insurance
- −$2,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,168
- − Management
- −$6,168
- − Depreciation
- −$16,000
- Taxable income
- $12,114
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,907
- After-tax cash flow
- $17,549/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Keppel Union Elementary
- NCES district ID
- 0619440
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,099
- Composite
- 27.26/100
- National rank
- #12432
- State rank
- #1089 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Littlerock
- Score
- 43/100
- State rank
- #1355
- US rank
- #26951
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,349
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 50.60%
- Current HPI
- 383.9938
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+587.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2026-02-28 Listed $550,000 AVMLS
- 1978-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,092 · +10.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…