1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
575 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Condo
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,321/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,540
Tax + insurance
−$1,088
HOA
−$959
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,117
Net cashflow
$-1,383/mo
Annual
$-16,597/yr
Cap rate
3.83%
Cash-on-cash
-8.78%
DSCR
0.61
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$189,000
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $675k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-17k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $431k (36.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $532k (21.2% below list).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($655k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $431k (36.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $43k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $39k appreciation (5.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Mark Twain Is 239 For The Gifted And Talented (math 90% / reading 96%, grade A+, #6 of 729 statewide, top 1%, 1,207 students, 44% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.1%/yr); 426 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $188k; list at $675k implies a 258% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$69k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.8% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($159k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-X664E00YBTWJQK
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29