3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,266 sqft ·
Built 1984
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,095/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$133
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$230
Net cashflow
$129/mo
Annual
$1,553/yr
Cap rate
7.64%
Cash-on-cash
4.82%
DSCR
1.21
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$32,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $129 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (4.8% below list).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $110k (4.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#166 in NM) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Tucumcari Public Schools (town): math 17% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #47 of 95 in NM (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 97% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP.
Quay County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-X767H33AC22FQH
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29