7811 NE 10th Ct

Miami, FL 33138

$1,499,000D+

4 bd · 4.0 ba · 3,081 sqft · Built 1949 · MultiFamily · Active · 75 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $13,327/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$7,861
• Tax + insurance: −$2,359
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$2,799
• Net cashflow: $309/mo
• Annual: $3,702/yr
• Cap rate: 6.88%
• Cash-on-cash: 2.10%
• DSCR: 1.09
• 1% rule: 0.89%
• Cash to close: $419,720

Investor read

• This is a 4 × 2-bed/2.5-bath units multifamily listed at $1.50M.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $309 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $77/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.33M (11.1% below list).
• It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.41M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $1.33M (11.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $45k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
• Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Jesse J. Mccrary Jr. Elementary School (math 31% / reading 30%, grade F, #1,862 of 2,144 statewide, top 88%, 376 students, 72% FRL); Horace Mann Middle School (math 23% / reading 31%, grade F, #497 of 571 statewide, top 88%, 528 students, 76% FRL); Miami Edison Senior High School (math 19% / reading 15%, grade F, #597 of 667 statewide, top 90%, 623 students, 72% FRL).
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-25 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 369 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $605k; list at $1.50M implies a 148% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 1.9% in Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?