2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,008 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$931/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax + insurance
−$40
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$196
Net cashflow
$408/mo
Annual
$4,893/yr
Cap rate
15.21%
Cash-on-cash
31.83%
DSCR
2.42
1% rule
1.70%
Cash to close
$15,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $408 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($931 rent vs $55k).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 52/100 on livability (#394 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime B+, housing B; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Fayette County Public Schools (rural): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #134 of 139 in TN (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: La Grange Moscow Elementary (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #848 of 952 statewide, top 91%, 218 students, 0% FRL); Fayette Ware Comprehensive High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #279 of 332 statewide, top 86%, 833 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 222 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fayette County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-X7GA10F3GTBSDE
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29