1035 Rube Scott Rd · La Grange, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
$54,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Attention investors and DIY enthusiasts! Multiple exit strategies: finish this remodel then either flip, rent or move in! Home being sold as is. Cash preferred but will consider financed all offers.
Key facts
- 1 acre lot
- Built 1970
- Listed 4 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $408 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($931 rent vs $55k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 52/100 on livability (#394 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime B+, housing B; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Fayette County Public Schools (rural): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #134 of 139 in TN (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: La Grange Moscow Elementary (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #848 of 952 statewide, top 91%, 218 students, 0% FRL); Fayette Ware Comprehensive High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #279 of 332 statewide, top 86%, 833 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 222 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
- Fayette County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.83%
- DSCR
- 2.42
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.35% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.00×
- Total profit
- $30,694
- Equity at exit
- $22,692
- IRR
- 37.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.90×
- Total profit
- $75,248
- Equity at exit
- $33,495
Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38039
- Home prices YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $931 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$17 /mo · $204/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$196
- Net cashflow
- $408
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,725
- Closing costs
- $1,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-07status Pending
-
2026-04-06price $54,900
-
2026-04-03$67,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $204 · $17/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $390 · $32/mo
- Expected delta
- +$186/yr (+$15/mo · 91.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,173
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,075
- − Property taxes
- −$204
- − Insurance
- −$274
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$894
- − Management
- −$894
- − Depreciation
- −$1,597
- Taxable income
- $4,235
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,016
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,877/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fayette County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 4701170
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,643
- Composite
- 10.14/100
- National rank
- #9798
- State rank
- #134 of 139 in TN
Livability — La Grange
- Score
- 52/100
- State rank
- #394
- US rank
- #24715
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 9
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,377
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 40,843 people
- By 2030
- 41,160 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 40,695 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 38,790 · -5.0%
- By 2075
- 32,870 · -19.5%
- By 2100
- 26,245 · -35.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 75% White 23% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.4) · D 28.4% · R 70.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.9pp toward R · 2008: -27.4pp · 2024: -42.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.4 2020: R+37.7 2016: R+37.2 2012: R+30.7 2008: R+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.35%
- Current HPI
- 122.2797
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-18.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Pending — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $54,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-03 Listed $67,500 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $204 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…