12863 Highway 23

Jean Lafitte, LA 70037

$149,000B-

5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,014 sqft · Built 2006 · Manufactured · Active · 111 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,368/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$781
• Tax + insurance: −$540
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$497
• Net cashflow: $549/mo
• Annual: $6,593/yr
• Cap rate: 14.15%
• Cash-on-cash: 28.07%
• DSCR: 2.25
• 1% rule: 1.59%
• Cash to close: $41,720

Investor read

• This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $149k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $549 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
• It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $136k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 57/100 on livability (#322 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
• Zoned schools: Belle Chasse Elementary School (math 54% / reading 60%, grade C+, #79 of 646 statewide, top 13%, 579 students, 58% FRL); Belle Chasse Middle School (math 40% / reading 44%, grade D-, #59 of 218 statewide, top 27%, 721 students, 62% FRL); Belle Chasse High School (math 51% / reading 54%, grade C-, #30 of 265 statewide, top 12%, 959 students, 51% FRL).
• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
• Market conditions: Rents falling (-13.6%/yr); 185 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 88 units permitted in Plaquemines Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Plaquemines County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $8k; list at $149k implies a 1762% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 3.5% in Jean Lafitte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.