209-25 18th Ave Unit 6D

New York, NY 11360

$398,000F

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,165 sqft · Built 1960 · Condo · Active · 27 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $3,522/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,087
• Tax + insurance: −$663
• HOA: −$1,566
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$740
• Net cashflow: $-1,534/mo
• Annual: $-18,405/yr
• Cap rate: 1.67%
• Cash-on-cash: -16.52%
• DSCR: 0.27
• 1% rule: 0.89%
• Cash to close: $111,440

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $398k. Condition is rated average.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-18k/yr) — negative.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $352k (11.5% below list).
• It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($392k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $352k (11.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $16k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (3.3% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Watch-outs: HOA is 44% of rent.
• Market conditions: 219 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 1.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
• This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($99k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?

Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)

• Minor: Kitchen cabinets — Worn wood cabinets need touch-up paint.
• Minor: Bathroom tiles — Blue tiles need cleaning and touch-up paint.
• Minor: Living room carpet — Carpet needs cleaning and possibly replacement.