209-25 18th Ave Unit 6D · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.6/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +1.6/30.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$398,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Very Rare spacious 3 Bedroom 2 full bath corner apartment in Bay Terrace. Total Maintenance Of $1969 Includes 2 Air Conditioners, Dishwasher, Gas & Electric. Purchaser will get 1 assigned parking space for an additional $20/month. Dining Room can be converted to 4th bedroom/office. Laundry room in Lobby. Playground, Basketball court. Close to Bay Terrace shopping center, Library, Elementary / Middle School, Express Bus, Local Bus. Common Point (Pool, Tennis & Pickleball) Fort Totten, Little Bay Park, Clearview Golf Course.
Key facts
- Laundry room
- Basketball court
- Corner apartment
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking (1 space); Parking fee required
- Security: Video cameras
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected
- Home design: Stock cooperative; 6-story building; One-level unit; Top floor / entry level 6
- Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation
- Exterior features: Basketball hoop; Playground; Bicycle room
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas cooktop; Gas oven
- Bedrooms: Top floor unit (entry level: 6)
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Steam heat; Wall/window unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Elevator; Entrance foyer; Walk-through kitchen; Walk-in closet(s); Accessible entrance; Laundry room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $398k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-18k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $352k (11.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $352k (11.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 1.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 219 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($99k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $16k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (3.3% local appreciation)).
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($392k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 44% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 1.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- -16.52%
- DSCR
- 0.27
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.26% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-43,234
- Equity at exit
- $184,802
- IRR
- -1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-22,285
- Equity at exit
- $289,431
Cash invested: $111,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11360
- Home prices YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 219
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,522 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,087
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$498 /mo · $5,970/yr
- Insurance
- −$166
- HOA est. from 2 same-building comps
- −$1,566
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$740
- Net cashflow
- $-1,534
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $99,500
- Closing costs
- $11,940
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15-47 209th St #2 Flushing, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $3,800 | $3.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 14-21 Bell Blvd Unit 2 Flushing, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $3,600 | $2.88 | 15d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 27-30 Francis Lewis Blvd Unit 2nd FLOOR Flushing, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $3,150 | $2.86 | 12d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3321 Jordan St Flushing, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $3,900 | $3.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 33-08 Francis Lewis Blvd Unit 2FL Queens, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $3,050 | $2.90 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 15719 26th Ave Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,850 | $3.35 | 22d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 208-12 39th Ave Bayside, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $3,150 | $3.32 | 7d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 36-26 192nd St #2 Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $3,000 | $3.43 | 7d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1001 154th St Whitestone, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $3,300 | $3.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 214-16 40th Ave Unit 3rd Floor Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,800 | $3.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 40-21 Bell Blvd Ste 2 Bayside, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $3,600 | $2.88 | 3d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 207-07 42nd Ave Unit 2 Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1395 | $3,900 | $2.80 | 3d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- gaselectricpoolparking
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $398,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $398,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $398,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $398,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $398,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $398,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $398,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $398,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $398,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $398,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $398,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $398,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $398,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$398,000 Active
-
2026-03-10status Pending
-
2026-01-16price $398,000
-
2025-11-08$450,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,269
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,294
- − Property taxes
- −$5,970
- − Insurance
- −$1,990
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,382
- − Management
- −$3,382
- − HOA
- −$18,792
- − Depreciation
- −$11,578
- Taxable loss
- −$25,118
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$6,028
- After-tax cash flow
- $-12,377/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This spacious 3-bedroom condo in Bay Terrace requires minor cosmetic updates to its kitchen and bathrooms, along with fresh paint and new flooring. The property's location and amenities make it a good investment opportunity.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Worn wood cabinets need touch-up paint.
- Minor Bathroom tiles — Blue tiles need cleaning and touch-up paint.
- Minor Living room carpet — Carpet needs cleaning and possibly replacement.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting throughout — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both New flooring in living areas — New carpet or hardwood flooring improves aesthetics and value.
- Both New kitchen cabinets and countertops — Modern kitchen updates attract more buyers and renters.
- Both New bathroom tiles and fixtures — Fresh bathroom updates improve functionality and aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhanced landscaping increases curb appeal and property value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Worn wood cabinets need touch-up paint. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathroom tiles · Blue tiles need cleaning and touch-up paint. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Living room carpet · Carpet needs cleaning and possibly replacement. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting throughout — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both New flooring in living areas — New carpet or hardwood flooring improves aesthetics and value. ↑
- Both New kitchen cabinets and countertops — Modern kitchen updates attract more buyers and renters. ↑
- Both New bathroom tiles and fixtures — Fresh bathroom updates improve functionality and aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhanced landscaping increases curb appeal and property value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,469
- Household income
- $98,875
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 496.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Asian 29% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 6% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 3% Estonian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 33% · China, South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 58% English-only · Chinese 14% Other Indo-European 11% Korean 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.26%
- Current HPI
- 204.1422
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
-11.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $398,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-10 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $398,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-08 Listed $450,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…