4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,800 sqft ·
Built 1964
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 83 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,460/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$944
Tax + insurance
−$286
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$307
Net cashflow
$-77/mo
Annual
$-924/yr
Cap rate
5.78%
Cash-on-cash
-1.83%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$50,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-77 ($-924/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $166k (7.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $146k (18.9% below list).
It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $146k (18.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#168 in IA, #3,020 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Spencer Community School District (town): math 73% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #114 of 289 in IA (top 39%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Market conditions: 108 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 11 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clay County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.6% in Spencer — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XACGWS3HGCQ3S4
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29