234 6th St SW · Spencer, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.0/30.0
- ARV discount +8.3/15.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious, functional and ready for its next owner! This 4 bedroom home offers the room you've been looking for with two living spaces and large bedrooms. The 3 season room is perfect for relaxing and enjoying the view of the back yard. You'll appreciate the heated work space in the garage, ideal for hobbies or a workspace you can use year-round! Furnace, central AC, water heater and electric panel were all NEW in 2024. A solid home with space, function and versatility!
Key facts
- 3 season room
- Heated work space
- 0.23 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-77 ($-924/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $166k (7.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $146k (18.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $146k (18.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.6% in Spencer — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#168 in IA, #3,020 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Spencer Community School District (town): math 73% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #114 of 289 in IA (top 39%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 108 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 11 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clay County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.83%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $183,287
- List price
- $180,000
- Delta
- -1.79%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 222 6th St SW | 0.03mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,893 (+5%) | 14mo | $234,000 | $124 | 74 |
| 823 1st St SW | 0.21mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 1,824 (+1%) | 11mo | $180,000 | $99 | 70 |
| 810 1st Ave SW | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,682 (-7%) | 5mo | $130,000 | $77 | 68 |
| 301 Southmoor Dr | 0.20mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,968 (+9%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $91 | 66 |
| 221 Southmoor Dr | 0.20mi | 4/2.5 | 1,648 (-8%) | 12mo | $107,000 | $65 | 63 |
| 818 1st Ave SW | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,592 (-12%) | 11mo | $239,000 | $150 | 56 |
| 6 Grandview Blvd | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 1,920 (+7%) | 2mo | $177,000 | $92 | 54 |
| 411 4th Ave W | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,781 (-1%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $84 | 51 |
| 612 W 4th St | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,864 (+4%) | 6mo | $143,000 | $77 | 50 |
| 915 1st Ave SW | 0.25mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,536 (-15%) | 7mo | $160,000 | $104 | 49 |
| 311 W 5th St | 0.74mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,750 (-3%) | 12mo | $139,000 | $79 | 44 |
| 302 9th St SE | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,568 (-13%) | 14mo | $223,000 | $142 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-34,061
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- -12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-35,922
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51301
- Home prices YoY
- -35.0%
- Active inventory
- 108
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,460 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$212 /mo · $2,538/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$307
- Net cashflow
- $-77
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 801 9th St SW Unit 814-D6 Spencer, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,460 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $180,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $180,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $180,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $180,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $180,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $180,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $180,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $180,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $180,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $180,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $180,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $180,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $180,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $180,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-05-13status Active 473-char remark
Show marketing remark (473 chars)
Spacious, functional and ready for its next owner! This 4 bedroom home offers the room you've been looking for with two living spaces and large bedrooms. The 3 season room is perfect for relaxing and enjoying the view of the back yard. You'll appreciate the heated work space in the garage, ideal for hobbies or a workspace you can use year-round! Furnace, central AC, water heater and electric panel were all NEW in 2024. A solid home with space, function and versatility!
-
2026-05-08historical Active Under Contract 473-char remark
Show marketing remark (473 chars)
Spacious, functional and ready for its next owner! This 4 bedroom home offers the room you've been looking for with two living spaces and large bedrooms. The 3 season room is perfect for relaxing and enjoying the view of the back yard. You'll appreciate the heated work space in the garage, ideal for hobbies or a workspace you can use year-round! Furnace, central AC, water heater and electric panel were all NEW in 2024. A solid home with space, function and versatility!
-
2026-03-27$189,900 Active 473-char remark
Show marketing remark (473 chars)
Spacious, functional and ready for its next owner! This 4 bedroom home offers the room you've been looking for with two living spaces and large bedrooms. The 3 season room is perfect for relaxing and enjoying the view of the back yard. You'll appreciate the heated work space in the garage, ideal for hobbies or a workspace you can use year-round! Furnace, central AC, water heater and electric panel were all NEW in 2024. A solid home with space, function and versatility!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,538 · $212/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,682 · $224/mo
- Expected delta
- +$144/yr (+$12/mo · 5.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,520
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$2,538
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,402
- − Management
- −$1,402
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable loss
- −$4,040
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$970
- After-tax cash flow
- $45/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Spencer Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1926910
- Math proficiency
- 73% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,474
- Composite
- 61.02/100
- National rank
- #797
- State rank
- #114 of 289 in IA
Livability — Spencer
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #168
- US rank
- #3020
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Spencer, IA
- City population
- 12,402
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,402
Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,277 people
- By 2030
- 16,073 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 15,638 · -3.9%
- By 2050
- 15,315 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 15,026 · -7.7%
- By 2100
- 14,638 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 14% Iranian 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clay
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.2) · D 27.8% · R 71.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.1pp toward R · 2008: -5.1pp · 2024: -43.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.2 2020: R+38.7 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.43%
- Current HPI
- 192.1741
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — Iowa Great Lakes BOR
- 2026-05-08 Contingent — Iowa Great Lakes BOR
- 2026-03-27 Listed $189,900 Iowa Great Lakes BOR
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,538 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…