3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,709 sqft ·
Built 1910
· Other
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,058/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$420
Tax + insurance
−$121
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$222
Net cashflow
$296/mo
Annual
$3,550/yr
Cap rate
10.73%
Cash-on-cash
15.85%
DSCR
1.71
1% rule
1.32%
Cash to close
$22,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $80k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $296 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#952 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Derry Area SD (rural): math 41% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #169 of 539 in PA (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 415 units permitted in Westmoreland County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westmoreland County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 3.5% in Derry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XAEBD293W1MQ52
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29