2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,236 sqft ·
Built 1910
· Other
· Active
· 104 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,032/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$467
Tax + insurance
−$161
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$217
Net cashflow
$188/mo
Annual
$2,254/yr
Cap rate
8.83%
Cash-on-cash
9.05%
DSCR
1.40
1% rule
1.16%
Cash to close
$24,920
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $89k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $188 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $81k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($615 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#767 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
New Holland-Middletown Ed 88 (rural): math 15% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #684 of 919 in IL (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: New Holland-Middletown Elem Sch (math 5% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,259 of 2,056 statewide, top 62%, 75 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 44% district-wide (44 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Logan County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $17k; list at $89k implies a 424% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29