2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
512 sqft ·
Built 1910
· Other
· Active
· 128 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$815/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax + insurance
−$64
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$171
Net cashflow
$292/mo
Annual
$3,503/yr
Cap rate
12.66%
Cash-on-cash
22.74%
DSCR
2.01
1% rule
1.48%
Cash to close
$15,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $55k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $292 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($815 rent vs $55k).
It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#150 in IA, #2,761 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
North Butler Community School District (rural): math 68% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #152 of 289 in IA (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Butler County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (6.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XBCFTS07H7MMEE
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29