3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,620 sqft ·
Built 1994
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,302/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,704
Tax + insurance
−$223
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$484
Net cashflow
$-108/mo
Annual
$-1,300/yr
Cap rate
5.89%
Cash-on-cash
-1.43%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$91,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $325k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-108 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $306k (5.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (29.2% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $230k (29.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $355 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#32 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Elko County School District (town): math 22% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #9 of 17 in NV (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Spring Creek Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #116 of 402 statewide, top 31%, 421 students, 16% FRL); Spring Creek Middle School (math 15% / reading 43%, grade F, #52 of 109 statewide, top 47%, 734 students, 20% FRL); Spring Creek High School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #43 of 131 statewide, top 33%, 909 students, 16% FRL).
Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 120 units permitted in Elko County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Elko County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $172k; list at $325k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.0% in Spring Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XBY8CR1Y90AAY5
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29