107 Springfield Pkwy · Spring Creek, NV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 10/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $490 – $910
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.5/30.0
- ARV discount +9.1/15.0
- Appreciation +5.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.1/10.0
$325,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PRICE IMPROVEMENT! Great location! NO ASSOCIATION DUES! Cute 3 bedroom 2 bath home with a fantastic view! This home has a lot of pluses that you wont want to miss viewing at this price. The kitchen features a cute little breakfast nook, a large pantry and a dining area. Master bedroom is large with the master bathroom featuring separate sinks, a walk in shower and a beautiful soaker tub. Split floor plan with the other two remaining bedrooms and bathroom in the opposite end of the home. Outside is a large deck and fully fenced back yard that backs up to ranch land. Seller is taking the panels around the goat area.
Key facts
- Ruby mountain views
- New water heater
- New roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $325k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-108 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $306k (5.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (29.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $230k (29.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.0% in Spring Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#32 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Elko County School District (town): math 22% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #9 of 17 in NV (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Spring Creek Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #116 of 402 statewide, top 31%, 421 students, 16% FRL); Spring Creek Middle School (math 15% / reading 43%, grade F, #52 of 109 statewide, top 47%, 734 students, 20% FRL); Spring Creek High School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #43 of 131 statewide, top 33%, 909 students, 16% FRL).
- Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 120 units permitted in Elko County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $355 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
- Elko County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $172k; list at $325k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.71% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.43%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 11.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $336,960
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 Springfield Pkwy | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (0%) | 1mo | $325,000 | $201 | 99 |
| 105 Brentwood Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (-4%) | 3mo | $325,000 | $208 | 84 |
| 135 Springfield Pkwy | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,716 (+6%) | 11mo | $290,000 | $169 | 69 |
| 236 Nellie Ln | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,716 (+6%) | 20mo | $469,000 | $273 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.11% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-14,900
- Equity at exit
- $96,147
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $22,015
- Equity at exit
- $117,000
Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 71 Landlord-Friendly
- State Nevada
- 71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 89815
- Home prices YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 127
- Price-to-rent
- 11.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,302 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax from tax record
- −$88 /mo · $1,051/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$484
- Net cashflow
- $-108
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $76 | -5% $-16 | +0% $-108 | +5% $-200 | +10% $-292 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-290 | -5% $-199 | +0% $-108 | +5% $-17 | +10% $74 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $55 | -0.5pp $-26 | base $-108 | +0.5pp $-193 | +1.0pp $-278 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,250
- Closing costs
- $9,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-09status Pending
-
2026-04-07$325,000 Active
-
2020-04-17soldstatus $172,500 632-char remark
Show marketing remark (632 chars)
PRICE IMPROVEMENT! Great location! NO ASSOCIATION DUES! Cute 3 bedroom 2 bath home with a fantastic view! This home has a lot of pluses that you wont want to miss viewing at this price. The kitchen features a cute little breakfast nook, a large pantry and a dining area. Master bedroom is large with the master bathroom featuring separate sinks, a walk in shower and a beautiful soaker tub. Split floor plan with the other two remaining bedrooms and bathroom in the opposite end of the home. Outside is a large deck and fully fenced back yard that backs up to ranch land. Seller is taking the panels around the goat area.
-
2020-04-17soldstatus $172,500
Show marketing remark (632 chars)
PRICE IMPROVEMENT! Great location! NO ASSOCIATION DUES! Cute 3 bedroom 2 bath home with a fantastic view! This home has a lot of pluses that you wont want to miss viewing at this price. The kitchen features a cute little breakfast nook, a large pantry and a dining area. Master bedroom is large with the master bathroom featuring separate sinks, a walk in shower and a beautiful soaker tub. Split floor plan with the other two remaining bedrooms and bathroom in the opposite end of the home. Outside is a large deck and fully fenced back yard that backs up to ranch land. Seller is taking the panels around the goat area.
-
2019-10-02$180,000 632-char remark
Show marketing remark (632 chars)
PRICE IMPROVEMENT! Great location! NO ASSOCIATION DUES! Cute 3 bedroom 2 bath home with a fantastic view! This home has a lot of pluses that you wont want to miss viewing at this price. The kitchen features a cute little breakfast nook, a large pantry and a dining area. Master bedroom is large with the master bathroom featuring separate sinks, a walk in shower and a beautiful soaker tub. Split floor plan with the other two remaining bedrooms and bathroom in the opposite end of the home. Outside is a large deck and fully fenced back yard that backs up to ranch land. Seller is taking the panels around the goat area.
-
2015-03-06soldstatus $135,000
-
2007-02-28soldstatus $149,500
-
1994-10-17soldstatus $82,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,051 · $88/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,918 · $160/mo
- Expected delta
- +$867/yr (+$72/mo · 82.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,630
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,205
- − Property taxes
- −$1,051
- − Insurance
- −$1,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,210
- − Management
- −$2,210
- − Depreciation
- −$9,455
- Taxable loss
- −$7,126
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,710
- After-tax cash flow
- $410/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elko County School District
- NCES district ID
- 3200120
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,371
- Composite
- 28.09/100
- National rank
- #6831
- State rank
- #9 of 17 in NV
Livability — Spring Creek
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #32
- US rank
- #9445
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Spring Creek, NV
- County
- Elko County · 15,636 people
- City population
- 15,636
- Metro
- Elko, NV
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,636
- Household income
- $102,926
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 172.0
Population outlook (Elko County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 56,797 people
- By 2030
- 59,107 · +4.1%
- By 2040
- 63,513 · +11.8%
- By 2050
- 66,996 · +18.0%
- By 2075
- 73,785 · +29.9%
- By 2100
- 72,352 · +27.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Lithuanian 4% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Elko
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.6) · D 20.6% · R 77.2% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.2pp toward R · 2008: -40.5pp · 2024: -56.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.6 2020: R+55.5 2016: R+54.7 2012: R+53.2 2008: R+40.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.11%
- Current HPI
- 160.8242
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Elko, NV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Hotels / Casinos | 3 | $36B |
|
||
Price history
+296.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Pending — ECRMLS
- 2026-04-07 Listed $325,000 ECRMLS
- 2020-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $172,500 Public Records
- 2020-04-17 Sold (MLS) $172,500 ECRMLS
- 2019-10-02 Listed $180,000 ECRMLS
- 2015-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 2007-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $149,500 Public Records
- 1994-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,051 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…