813 Travis Rd

Kuttawa, KY 42055

$90,000C

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · Built 1991 · Other · Active · 282 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $940/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$472
• Tax + insurance: −$60
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$197
• Net cashflow: $210/mo
• Annual: $2,519/yr
• Cap rate: 9.09%
• Cash-on-cash: 10.00%
• DSCR: 1.44
• 1% rule: 1.04%
• Cash to close: $25,200

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $90k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $210 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($940 rent vs $90k).
• It's been on market 282 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $5k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.5% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#268 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Lyon County (rural): math 45% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #13 of 165 in KY (top 8%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Lyon County Elementary School (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #100 of 676 statewide, top 16%, 457 students, 58% FRL); Lyon County Middle School (math 51% / reading 54%, grade C+, #16 of 217 statewide, top 7%, 243 students, 51% FRL); Lyon County High School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #76 of 254 statewide, top 34%, 298 students, 46% FRL).
• Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Lyon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Lyon County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• 2 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $24k; list at $90k implies a 275% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (4.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 0.8% in Kuttawa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 282 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.