CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
813 Travis Rd
C Composite 58.96
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.5/30.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$90,000

813 Travis Rd · Kuttawa, KY 42055
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · Other · 282 Days on market
Built 1991 1.38 ac lot $70/sqft · 42% above area Est $64k · 42% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cozy Weekend Getaway! Escape to your own private retreat with this 3BR, 2BA FULLY FURNISHED mobile home - a perfect place for a relaxing weekend getaway or an investment property! Features an open concept living room and kitchen, split floor for bedrooms, utility room, the back yard is fenced to allow plenty of play area for your children or pets and an outbuilding to provide additional storage space. Located approximately < 5 miles from 1-24 access, Lake Barkley public boat ramps, Hu-b's, Mineral Mounds Golf Course, etc. If you are looking for a second home, a hunting or fishing hideout or simply just wanting a quiet escape, this property provides convenience, comfort and affordability. Just bring your bags and start enjoying LAKE LIFE today! PRICE REDUCED $90,000

Key facts

  • Fenced back yard
  • Private retreat
  • 1.38 acre lot

Tags

PRIVATE RETREATOPEN CONCEPT LIVING ROOMFENCED BACK YARDOUTBUILDING FOR STORAGECLOSE TO LAKE BARKLEYCLOSE TO PUBLIC BOAT RAMPS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $210 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($940 rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 0.7% in Kuttawa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#268 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Lyon County (rural): math 45% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #13 of 165 in KY (top 8%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Lyon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.5% local appreciation)).
  • Lyon County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (4.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 282 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $24k; list at $90k implies a 275% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 282 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
9.09%
Cash-on-cash
10.00%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$63,500
List price
$90,000
Delta
41.73%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

4.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.2%
Equity multiple
2.24×
Total profit
$31,286
Equity at exit
$48,035
10-year hold
IRR
20.3%
Equity multiple
4.35×
Total profit
$84,361
Equity at exit
$80,548

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42055

Home prices YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
61
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$940 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$23 /mo · $276/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$197
Net cashflow
$210

Break-even live

Break-even rent $674
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $261 -5% $235 +0% $210 +5% $184 +10% $159
Rent -10% $136 -5% $173 +0% $210 +5% $247 +10% $284
Rate -1.0pp $255 -0.5pp $233 base $210 +0.5pp $187 +1.0pp $163

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $90,000 Active 282 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $90,000 Active 281 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $90,000 Active 279 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $90,000 Active 278 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $90,000 Active 277 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $90,000 Active 276 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $90,000 Active 274 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $90,000 Active 273 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $90,000 Active 270 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $90,000 Active 269 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $90,000 Active 268 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $90,000 Active 267 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $90,000 Active 264 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $90,000 Active 263 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $90,000 Active 262 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $90,000 Active 261 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $90,000 Active 260 DOM
  18. 2026-05-01
    price $90,000 780-char remark
    Show marketing remark (780 chars)

    Cozy Weekend Getaway! Escape to your own private retreat with this 3BR, 2BA FULLY FURNISHED mobile home - a perfect place for a relaxing weekend getaway or an investment property! Features an open concept living room and kitchen, split floor for bedrooms, utility room, the back yard is fenced to allow plenty of play area for your children or pets and an outbuilding to provide additional storage space. Located approximately &lt; 5 miles from 1-24 access, Lake Barkley public boat ramps, Hu-b's, Mineral Mounds Golf Course, etc. If you are looking for a second home, a hunting or fishing hideout or simply just wanting a quiet escape, this property provides convenience, comfort and affordability. Just bring your bags and start enjoying LAKE LIFE today! PRICE REDUCED $90,000

  19. 2026-03-13
    price $100,000 780-char remark
    Show marketing remark (780 chars)

    Cozy Weekend Getaway! Escape to your own private retreat with this 3BR, 2BA FULLY FURNISHED mobile home - a perfect place for a relaxing weekend getaway or an investment property! Features an open concept living room and kitchen, split floor for bedrooms, utility room, the back yard is fenced to allow plenty of play area for your children or pets and an outbuilding to provide additional storage space. Located approximately &lt; 5 miles from 1-24 access, Lake Barkley public boat ramps, Hu-b's, Mineral Mounds Golf Course, etc. If you are looking for a second home, a hunting or fishing hideout or simply just wanting a quiet escape, this property provides convenience, comfort and affordability. Just bring your bags and start enjoying LAKE LIFE today! PRICE REDUCED $90,000

  20. 2025-09-12
    listed $120,000 Active 780-char remark
    Show marketing remark (780 chars)

    Cozy Weekend Getaway! Escape to your own private retreat with this 3BR, 2BA FULLY FURNISHED mobile home - a perfect place for a relaxing weekend getaway or an investment property! Features an open concept living room and kitchen, split floor for bedrooms, utility room, the back yard is fenced to allow plenty of play area for your children or pets and an outbuilding to provide additional storage space. Located approximately &lt; 5 miles from 1-24 access, Lake Barkley public boat ramps, Hu-b's, Mineral Mounds Golf Course, etc. If you are looking for a second home, a hunting or fishing hideout or simply just wanting a quiet escape, this property provides convenience, comfort and affordability. Just bring your bags and start enjoying LAKE LIFE today! PRICE REDUCED $90,000

  21. 2016-06-24
    soldstatus $24,000 139-char remark
    Show marketing remark (139 chars)

    Attention Fishermen!! 3 bedroom, 2 bath mobile home sitting on 1.38 acres, location close (approx 3-4 miles) lake. Priced to sell! $29,998.

  22. 2016-04-26
    listed $29,998 139-char remark
    Show marketing remark (139 chars)

    Attention Fishermen!! 3 bedroom, 2 bath mobile home sitting on 1.38 acres, location close (approx 3-4 miles) lake. Priced to sell! $29,998.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$276 · $23/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$774 · $64/mo
Expected delta
+$498/yr (+$42/mo · 180.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,277
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$276
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$902
− Management
−$902
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$1,087
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$261
After-tax cash flow
$2,258/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lyon County
NCES district ID
2103690
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$43,899
Composite
40.94/100
National rank
#3607
State rank
#13 of 165 in KY

Livability — Kuttawa

Score
65/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#13075

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,496

Population outlook (Lyon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,330 people
By 2030
8,308 · -0.3%
By 2040
8,196 · -1.6%
By 2050
8,069 · -3.1%
By 2075
8,131 · -2.4%
By 2100
6,856 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Black 6% Two or more races 2% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 7% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Lyon

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.4) · D 22.7% · R 76.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-36.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -53.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.4 2020: R+47.5 2016: R+44.0 2012: R+27.1 2008: R+16.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.45%
Current HPI
219.1432
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+200.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $90,000 WKRMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $100,000 WKRMLS
  • 2025-09-12 Listed $120,000 WKRMLS
  • 2016-06-24 Sold (MLS) $24,000 WKRMLS
  • 2016-04-26 Listed $29,998 WKRMLS

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $276 · -1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…