4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,595 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,848/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,520
Tax + insurance
−$503
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$598
Net cashflow
$227/mo
Annual
$2,722/yr
Cap rate
7.23%
Cash-on-cash
3.35%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$81,172
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $290k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $227 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $285k (1.7% below list).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $285k (1.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#215 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Gloucester City Public School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #413 of 472 in NJ (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Cold Springs School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,172 of 1,303 statewide, top 91%, 842 students, 68% FRL); Gloucester City Middle School (math 8% / reading 36%, grade F, #383 of 431 statewide, top 90%, 779 students, 65% FRL); Gloucester City High School (math 21% / reading 42%, grade F, #275 of 399 statewide, top 69%, 702 students, 59% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $125k; list at $290k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 38% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 5.7% in Gloucester City — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
At $2,848/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 431% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XD3JGP6CXZTHC8
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29