1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
736 sqft ·
Built 2002
· Manufactured
· Active
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$665/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$166
HOA
−$75
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$140
Net cashflow
$-240/mo
Annual
$-2,882/yr
Cap rate
3.41%
Cash-on-cash
-10.30%
DSCR
0.54
1% rule
0.67%
Cash to close
$27,972
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-240 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $65k (34.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $66k (33.5% below list).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $65k (34.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,267 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
La Joya ISD (suburban): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #759 of 826 in TX (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Jose De Escandon El (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #2,268 of 4,322 statewide, top 55%, 640 students, 86% FRL); Irene M Garcia Middle (math 17% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,428 of 1,662 statewide, top 87%, 641 students, 89% FRL); La Joya Palmview H S (math 20% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,157 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 2,155 students, 91% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 54% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 1115 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 94% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XD68EXF0XMJJQ3
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29