3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,320 sqft ·
Built 2012
· Condo
· Pending
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,867/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,036
Tax + insurance
−$967
HOA
−$1,217
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,232
Net cashflow
$-585/mo
Annual
$-7,025/yr
Cap rate
5.08%
Cash-on-cash
-4.33%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
1.01%
Cash to close
$162,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $579k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-585 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $476k (17.9% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $579k).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($570k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $476k (17.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Phyllis Wheatley Elementary School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,121 of 2,144 statewide, top 99%, 189 students, 88% FRL); Jose De Diego Middle School (math 20% / reading 24%, grade F, #549 of 571 statewide, top 97%, 868 students, 68% FRL); Booker T. Washington Senior High (math 12% / reading 19%, grade F, #604 of 667 statewide, top 91%, 1,014 students, 60% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 18% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-31 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 758 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $400k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 1.9% in Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XD7AJG0TT7KHS7
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29