4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,100 sqft ·
Built 1910
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 165 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,174/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,044
Tax + insurance
−$332
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$457
Net cashflow
$342/mo
Annual
$4,107/yr
Cap rate
8.36%
Cash-on-cash
7.37%
DSCR
1.33
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$55,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $199k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $342 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).
It's been on market 165 days — a 12% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $175k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#13 in VT, #3,051 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D+, commute F.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 104 units permitted in Addison County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Addison County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 1.6% in Vergennes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 165 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Severe weathering
Major: exterior paint
— Peeling and faded
Minor: interior flooring
— Worn but not damaged
Minor: interior walls
— Painted but some wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-XDKDJ71DKZ97CG
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29