3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,484 sqft ·
Built 1915
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 137 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,167/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$104
Tax + insurance
−$180
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$245
Net cashflow
$638/mo
Annual
$7,652/yr
Cap rate
52.29%
Cash-on-cash
164.29%
DSCR
8.31
1% rule
5.87%
Cash to close
$5,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $638 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $18k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-2.6%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $522 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#453 in KY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
Bath County (rural): math 19% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #139 of 165 in KY (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Crossroads Elementary School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #348 of 676 statewide, top 55%, 395 students, 80% FRL); Bath County Middle School (math 16% / reading 33%, grade F, #189 of 217 statewide, top 89%, 416 students, 78% FRL); Bath County High School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #76 of 254 statewide, top 34%, 618 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 60% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; flood insurance adds $125/mo; built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP.
Bath County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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