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9151 Us-60
D+ Composite 46.16
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$19,900

9151 Us-60 · Salt Lick, KY 40371
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,484 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 137 Days on market
Built 1915 8,712 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Unlivable house on a 0.2 acre +- lot located within the city limits of Salt Lick.

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • Built 1915
  • Listed 136 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available; Sewer available; Water available
  • Home design: One and one-half stories
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Wood siding; Stone foundation; 1,484 total building area
  • Exterior features: Shed(s) on property; Public water available; Not on waterfront

Interior

  • Flooring: Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Interior features: Wood flooring; 8 total rooms; No fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $638 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
  • Recommended offer: $18k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#453 in KY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bath County (rural): math 19% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #139 of 165 in KY (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Crossroads Elementary School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #348 of 676 statewide, top 55%, 395 students, 80% FRL); Bath County Middle School (math 16% / reading 33%, grade F, #189 of 217 statewide, top 89%, 416 students, 78% FRL); Bath County High School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #76 of 254 statewide, top 34%, 618 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 60% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.6%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $522 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bath County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; flood insurance adds $125/mo; built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $17,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.87%
Cap rate
52.29%
Cash-on-cash
164.29%
DSCR
8.31
GRM
1.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$81,620
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
57 Maple St 0.22mi 3/1.0 1,700 (+15%) 11mo $90,000 $53 56
18 Moores Ferry Rd 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,624 (+9%) 21mo $90,000 $55 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.62% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.79×
Total profit
$37,808
Equity at exit
$3,301
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
16.42×
Total profit
$85,926
Equity at exit
$2,300

Cash invested: $5,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40371

Home prices YoY
-0.9%
Active inventory
17
Price-to-rent
1.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,167 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$104
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $560/yr
Insurance
$8
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$245
Net cashflow
$638

Break-even live

Break-even rent $360
Max offer price $19,900
Occupancy floor 40%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $649 -5% $643 +0% $638 +5% $632 +10% $626
Rent -10% $545 -5% $592 +0% $638 +5% $684 +10% $730
Rate -1.0pp $648 -0.5pp $643 base $638 +0.5pp $632 +1.0pp $627

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$4,975
Closing costs
$597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $19,900 Active 137 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $19,900 Active 134 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $19,900 Active 133 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $19,900 Active 132 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $19,900 Active 131 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $19,900 Active 130 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $19,900 Active 128 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $19,900 Active 127 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $19,900 Active 124 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $19,900 Active 123 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $19,900 Active 122 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $19,900 Active 121 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $19,900 Active 118 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $19,900 Active 117 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $19,900 Active 116 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $19,900 Active 115 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $19,900 Active 114 DOM
  18. 2026-02-05
    listed $19,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$560 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$560 · $47/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone A · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,007
− Mortgage interest
−$1,115
− Property taxes
−$560
− Insurance
−$1,602
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,121
− Management
−$1,121
− Depreciation
−$579
Taxable income
$7,911
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,899
After-tax cash flow
$5,753/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bath County
NCES district ID
2100330
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -21.00%
Median HH income
$33,531
Composite
21.67/100
National rank
#8278
State rank
#139 of 165 in KY

Livability — Salt Lick

Score
56/100
State rank
#453
US rank
#22411

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Salt Lick, KY
Population (ZIP)
2,587

Population outlook (Bath County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,605 people
By 2030
14,240 · +4.7%
By 2040
15,454 · +13.6%
By 2050
16,499 · +21.3%
By 2075
18,706 · +37.5%
By 2100
19,022 · +39.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (99%)
Race & ethnicity
White 99%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Bath

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.3) · D 23.7% · R 75.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-50.8pp toward R · 2008: -0.5pp · 2024: -51.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.3 2020: R+42.9 2016: R+37.6 2012: R+12.2 2008: R+0.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.62%
Current HPI
290.6709
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-05 Listed $19,900 ImagineMLS

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2022): $560 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…