2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,050 sqft ·
Built 1957
· Condo
· Active
· 98 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,575/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,201
Tax + insurance
−$382
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$751
Net cashflow
$1,241/mo
Annual
$14,897/yr
Cap rate
12.80%
Cash-on-cash
23.23%
DSCR
2.03
1% rule
1.56%
Cash to close
$64,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $229k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $229k).
It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($208k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $208k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#410 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
White Plains City School District (urban): math 49% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #313 of 590 in NY (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 87 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
11 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 4.3% in White Plains — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,575/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($86k/yr) (locally 944% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XGKTK2EW7D0922
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29