2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,676 sqft ·
Built 1905
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,558/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,967
Tax + insurance
−$607
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$747
Net cashflow
$237/mo
Annual
$2,848/yr
Cap rate
7.05%
Cash-on-cash
2.71%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$105,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 1-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $375k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $237 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $119/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $356k (5.1% below list).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $356k (5.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#10 in NH, #879 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
Manchester School District (urban): math 14% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #96 of 98 in NH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 101 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 981 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (381 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hillsborough County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
7 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $260k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.1% in Manchester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,558/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 1809% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XHB5GFBWSSK6PT
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29