15229 Buchanan Ct

Eden Prairie, MN 55344

$349,900D

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,856 sqft · Built 1979 · SingleFamily · Active · 3 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,747/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,835
• Tax + insurance: −$436
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$577
• Net cashflow: $-100/mo
• Annual: $-1,202/yr
• Cap rate: 5.95%
• Cash-on-cash: -1.23%
• DSCR: 0.95
• 1% rule: 0.79%
• Cash to close: $97,972

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $350k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-100 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $332k (5.1% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $275k (21.5% below list).
• Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Recommended offer: $275k (21.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 85/100 on livability (#21 in MN, #575 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
• Eden Prairie Public School District (urban): math 61% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #13 of 301 in MN (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Eagle Heights Spanish Immersion (math 62% / reading 75%, grade B+, #91 of 857 statewide, top 11%, 715 students, 9% FRL); Central Middle School (math 55% / reading 69%, grade B+, #19 of 258 statewide, top 8%, 1,909 students, 30% FRL); Eden Prairie Senior High (math 61% / reading 71%, grade B, #24 of 471 statewide, top 5%, 2,833 students, 31% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 65 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 3 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask is 67% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
• Current owner paid $207k; list at $350k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 2.7% in Eden Prairie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.