2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,100 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$732/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$126
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$154
Net cashflow
$191/mo
Annual
$2,288/yr
Cap rate
10.88%
Cash-on-cash
16.38%
DSCR
1.73
1% rule
1.47%
Cash to close
$13,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $191 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($732 rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $848 of equity ($345 loan paydown + $503 appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#404 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Westville CUSD 2 (suburban): math 8% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #590 of 620 in IL (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Judith Giacoma Elem School (math 8% / reading 9%, grade F, #1,617 of 2,056 statewide, top 79%, 671 students, 0% FRL); Westville Jr High School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #612 of 665 statewide, top 93%, 177 students, 0% FRL); Westville High School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #589 of 693 statewide, top 86%, 350 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8 units permitted in Vermilion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Vermilion County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XJN53S2KVZ6ZE1
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29