4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,004 sqft ·
Built 1928
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 102 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,649/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$215
Tax + insurance
−$68
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$346
Net cashflow
$1,019/mo
Annual
$12,231/yr
Cap rate
36.12%
Cash-on-cash
106.54%
DSCR
5.74
1% rule
4.02%
Cash to close
$11,480
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $41k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $41k).
It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($37k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $37k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($283 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#34 in MT, #4,379 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities D-, employment F.
Wolf Point H S (town): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #271 of 339 in MT (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP.
Roosevelt County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XK6GQB4TZ5HGFP
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29