501 Cascade St · Wolf Point, MT 59201

$41,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,004 sqft · SingleFamily · 102 Days on market

Built 1928 4,600 sqft lot Est $62k · 34% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +7.9/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.6/10.0

Key facts

• 4,600 sq ft lot
• Garage
• Built 1928

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $41k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $41k).
• Recommended offer: $37k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#34 in MT, #4,379 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities D-, employment F.
• Wolf Point H S (town): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #271 of 339 in MT (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($283 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
• Roosevelt County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($37k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $37,310 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 4.02% ✓
• Cap rate: 36.12%
• Cash-on-cash: 106.54%
• DSCR: 5.74
• GRM: 2.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $62,124
• Comps found: 4

Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
501 Cascade St	0.00mi	4/2.0	2,004 (0%)	1mo	$41,000	$20	99
300 Custer St	0.39mi	4/2.0	2,244 (+12%)	3mo	$125,000	$56	59
309 Custer St	0.41mi	3/1.0 (-1)	1,834 (-8%)	9mo	$57,000	$31	50
320 3rd Ave S	0.40mi	3/1.0 (-1)	1,728 (-14%)	21mo	$52,000	$30	32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.89% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 7.66×
• Total profit: $76,513
• Equity at exit: $25,490

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 16.19×
• Total profit: $174,348
• Equity at exit: $45,982

Cash invested: $11,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Montana: 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

30-day notice; no rent control; preempted; rural-skewed market.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 59201

• Home prices YoY: 3.2%
• Active inventory: 26
• Price-to-rent: 2.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,649 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$215
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$51 /mo · $615/yr
• Insurance: −$17
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$346
• Net cashflow: $1,019

Break-even live

Break-even rent $359

Max offer price $41,000

Occupancy floor 33%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $10,250
• Closing costs: $1,230
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-04-14
   status Pending
2. 2026-01-03
   listed $41,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,786
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,297
• − Property taxes: −$615
• − Insurance: −$205
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,583
• − Management: −$1,583
• − Depreciation: −$1,193
• Taxable income: $12,311
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,955
• After-tax cash flow: $9,276/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Wolf Point H S
• NCES district ID: 3028620
• Math proficiency: 11% ▲ 11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 20% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $36,527
• Composite: 16.31/100
• National rank: #14269
• State rank: #271 of 339 in MT

Livability — Wolf Point

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #34
• US rank: #4379

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Wolf Point, MT
• Population (ZIP): 5,345

Population outlook (Roosevelt County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 13,449 people
• By 2030: 14,496 · +7.8%
• By 2040: 16,710 · +24.2%
• By 2050: 18,950 · +40.9%
• By 2075: 24,541 · +82.5%
• By 2100: 27,573 · +105.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.90)
• Race & ethnicity: Native American 56% White 32% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 5% Italian 3% Scottish 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Vietnam, Canada, China
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Roosevelt

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+9.6) · D 42.9% · R 52.5% · Other 4.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -35.9pp toward R · 2008: 26.3pp · 2024: -9.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+9.6 2020: R+2.1 2016: R+6.3 2012: D+15.0 2008: D+26.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 5.89%
• Current HPI: 188.8516
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.41%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology / Analytics	1	$2B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-14 Pending — GNMLS
• 2026-01-03 Listed $41,000 GNMLS