45933 Wood Thrush Ave

Bennett, CO 80102

$449,950D

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,742 sqft · Built 2024 · SingleFamily · Active · 380 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $3,000/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,202
• Tax + insurance: −$422
• HOA: −$121
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$630
• Net cashflow: $-375/mo
• Annual: $-4,500/yr
• Cap rate: 5.22%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.83%
• DSCR: 0.83
• 1% rule: 0.71%
• Cash to close: $117,550

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $450k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-375 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $354k (21.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $300k (33.3% below list).
• It's been on market 380 days — a 12% lower offer ($396k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $300k (33.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $45k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $42k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#263 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Bennett School District No. 29J (rural): math 13% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #69 of 86 in CO (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Bennett Preschool (71 students, 11% FRL); Bennett Middle School (math 8% / reading 42%, grade F, #168 of 270 statewide, top 63%, 304 students, 38% FRL); Bennett High School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #209 of 381 statewide, top 56%, 427 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools at 25% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 213 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,299 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (343 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Adams County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $75k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$72k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 380 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.