3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
880 sqft ·
Built 1965
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 229 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,526/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$681
Tax + insurance
−$275
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$320
Net cashflow
$250/mo
Annual
$2,998/yr
Cap rate
8.60%
Cash-on-cash
8.24%
DSCR
1.37
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$36,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $250 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
It's been on market 229 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#655 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Neil Armstrong Elementary School (math 66% / reading 63%, grade B, #525 of 2,144 statewide, top 26%, 780 students, 63% FRL); Port Charlotte High School (math 23% / reading 38%, grade F, #434 of 667 statewide, top 66%, 1,649 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 707 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $30k; list at $130k implies a 333% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.4% in Port Charlotte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 229 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XKQ9CFD002NGHM
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29