1 bd · 2.0 ba ·
989 sqft ·
Built 2007
· Condo
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,563/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,938
Tax + insurance
−$577
HOA
−$566
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$748
Net cashflow
$-266/mo
Annual
$-3,192/yr
Cap rate
5.43%
Cash-on-cash
-3.08%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$103,460
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $370k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-266 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $323k (12.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $356k (3.6% below list).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($364k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $323k (12.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Citrus Grove Elementary School (math 27% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,854 of 2,144 statewide, top 87%, 866 students, 65% FRL); Citrus Grove Middle School (math 19% / reading 21%, grade F, #558 of 571 statewide, top 98%, 781 students, 66% FRL); Miami Senior High School (math 21% / reading 41%, grade F, #429 of 667 statewide, top 65%, 2,905 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools at 67% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 243 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 1.9% in Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,563/mo this rent would consume 95% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 5223% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-XKZDGN1YMQXWNC
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29